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News 2021-10-20 | crypto-subterranea | spoiling babies | Japan's carriers | Treefactor alternative | vanishing bumblebee | cancel bureaucrats | hydrophilic UFOs | humanoid dinosaurs | IT career starter | Taiwan doomsday | hospital incentives

Table of Contents

  1. About: Objective Contrarian news
    1. Content
    2. Format
    3. Support
  2. The new dot com bubble is online advertising (2019) (thecorrespondent.com) | HN | of course ads work | VD, AC rebutted
  3. Pandora papers: biggest leak of offshore data exposes financial secrets of rich (theguardian.com) | HN | legal tax evasion | xfer profits to company in tax haven
  4. 4mm km secret tunnels beneath London | crypto-subterranea
  5. You can not spoil a baby, people really need to stop saying you can | r/unpopularopinion | depends on month | sleep regression
  6. Web Scrapers Claim to Possess and Sell Personal Data on 1.5 Billion Facebook Users on a Hacker Forum | privacyaffairs.com | unrelated to outage
  7. VIDEO: Japan’s Largest Warship Launches U.S. Marine F-35s; First Fighters to Fly from Japanese Ship Since WWII | news.usni.org
  8. alternative to Treefactor | by prefc
  9. The American Bumblebee Has Vanished from Eight States (smithsonianmag.com) | HN | JDonald wrong again
  10. The latest campus cancellation is different (theatlantic.com) | HN | Twitter mob power | acts on gutless bureaucrats | Cathedral neuters "independent" orgs via regulatory state
  11. Shipments containing Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine are seized by customs officials in Chicago. | newsweek.com
  12. org-real: Keep track of real things as org-mode links | promising
  13. Russian Navy UFO records say aliens love oceans | rt.com | legit
  14. Lincoln admin mocks civilized Indian tribes | they declare war on Union
  15. Cyberthal> | dinosaur with opposable thumbs | Reptilian coverup
  16. Cyberthal | why UFOs like water
  17. Were zombies and vampires inspired by a real disease? | Alessandra Potenza
  18. lenship | Cyberthal meditation
  19. leaking watermarked docs | text or img | manually reproduce
  20. Ask HN: Solo-preneurs, how do you DevOps to save time? | HN | Heroku
  21. employeement | tap-dancing around pay | middle aged skip it | bad employers | r/AskReddit
  22. Ask HN: What's the fastest way to become employable in tech | HN | start in small co tech support | "support engineer"
  23. PLA on high alert | Taiwan "doomsday" | the-sun.com
  24. How deliberate illness improves trial sensitivity
  25. DuckDuckGo has had 0 search warrants since founding in 2008 (twitter.com/duckduckgo) | HN | cuz no logs
  26. hotels vs hospitals | checking out | avoid cartels

About: Objective Contrarian news

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The new dot com bubble is online advertising (2019) (thecorrespondent.com) | HN | of course ads work | VD, AC rebutted

The new dot com bubble is online advertising (2019) (thecorrespondent.com)
262 points by 1vuio0pswjnm7 1 day ago | hide | past | favorite | 164 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28724806

avalys 1 day ago [–]

I remember reading this article back in 2019 when it was originally written. Unclear why it is being dusted off now when it is still just as wrong as it was then.
Yes, it is probably hard for a large, well-known brand like eBay or Procter & Gamble or Coca-Cola to measure their return from online advertising. If Coca-Cola stopped all advertising for 1 week, would anything really change? Probably not. And it’s not as if anyone is clicking Google search ads for Coca-Cola and ordering a 6-pack right there. This is the same problem that these companies have with TV advertising.
But anyone who has ever run a small, consumer-focused startup with low brand recognition can very easily measure their return on ad spend, and will spend a lot of time doing this. You can easily tell which specific ad referred someone to your website, and how much money they spent once they got there.
If they’re not convinced by this data, at some point most startups will find the opportunity to simply turn off all advertising for a week for one reason or another. And can usually see the drop in revenue immediately.
I was involved in a consumer hardware startup where our COO shared granular ROAS numbers in our all-hands every week for Google, Facebook, TV advertising across multiple networks, etc. They regularly A/B tested different advertisements and messages across different media and directly optimized for revenue. It was clear beyond a doubt that this advertising worked. The company would not have been viable without it.
The fact that this proof is easily and readily available from small, lesser-known companies is part of why large companies continue to spend money on advertising despite the benefits being much harder to measure.

Vox Day's and Anonymous Conservative's stupid pet theory that "Ads don't work" destroyed.
[2021-10-03 Sun 15:36]

Pandora papers: biggest leak of offshore data exposes financial secrets of rich (theguardian.com) | HN | legal tax evasion | xfer profits to company in tax haven

Pandora papers: biggest leak of offshore data exposes financial secrets of rich (theguardian.com)
1046 points by pseudolus 14 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 471 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28738407

xs 13 hours ago [–]

What I see here is tax evasion. But done in a roundabout legal loopholish kind of way.

  1. Establish profitable company in your home country.
  2. Establish 2nd company in a tax haven country.
  3. Give 2nd company some kind of ownership, and then pay rental fees, licensing fees, or simply set up a high interest loan that the 2nd company loaned the first.
  4. Once you set up a way to make it look like you owe the 2nd company tons of money, now your 1st company no longer is "profitable" and actually in debt losing money, which means it doesn't need to pay taxes on the massive profit it's making.

While I believe it's legal it hinges on bad ethical practice. But many large companies do this, such as cruise ships and I think Apple.

[2021-10-04 Mon 15:02]

4mm km secret tunnels beneath London | crypto-subterranea

AC> There are 4,000,000 km of secret tunnels and chambers hidden under London that were created in secret by the Post Office, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) and British Telecom (BT).

https://www.mylondon.news/news/zone-1-news/abandoned-tunnel-network-under-london-19099557

Crypto-subterranea.
[2021-10-04 Mon 16:57]

You can not spoil a baby, people really need to stop saying you can | r/unpopularopinion | depends on month | sleep regression

You can not spoil a baby, people really need to stop saying you can
Posted by u/megalyknight
9 hours ago

Oh put him down, you’re spoiling him. Another feed?! You’ll spoil him. Bedsharing (safely of course)? Spoilt. Comfort when they cry? SPOIL
Shuuuut up. This is a literal baby we are talking about. Humans birth their babies way before they are ready to be born, hence why they are so helpless when they’re born. Our pelvises narrowed as we became upright beings, meaning we couldn’t birth a baby any bigger than we do now. We don’t birth them because they’re ready to be ‘independent’ and ‘self-soothe’ etc…
Their brains are not yet developed enough to even comprehend the concept of manipulation, never mind actually actively manipulating those around them. Skin to skin contact regulates a baby’s breathing, heart rate and temperature. They can smell their mother’s scent and associate it with safety and the womb. They cry because they need something, and reality check, comfort is a need that is just as valid as hygiene and feeding.
So please, if you’re one of these people that claims other people are ‘spoiling’ their baby for being a responsive, caring parent, stop. It helps nobody, least of all the tiny little human who is being demonised for biologically normal behaviour.

https://www.reddit.com/r/unpopularopinion/comments/q17rb7/you_can_not_spoil_a_baby_people_really_need_to/

TheQuackening
4h

Literally every doctor has told my wife and i that until they reach around 6months of age, its IMPOSSIBLE to spoil a baby.
Before 6 months, they have no sense of "wants" vs "needs".
Up to this point babies are VERY simple: if they are dirty, hungry, or uncomfortable, they will complain or cry until you fix it.
source: my 2 month old baby.

110

GoddessOfRawr
User avatar
level 2
3h

I think it can happen between 4-6 months, as soon as they go through the sleep regression and that part of the brain is wired up. When my baby was 5 months she had definitely learned to cry for attention when nothing was wrong. Good luck with the sleep regression, I went through it earlier this year, my baby is now 7 months old.

19

TXshooter15
User avatar
level 2
43m

Basically, you’ll do whatever you think they need until you realize they’ve begun manipulating you. Not sure when exactly that happens, but it becomes obvious after awhile. It’s funny.

Source: my 3.5 year old and 9 month old.

whothefisrachell
level 1
9h

We've had enough time to properly examine the long term effects of "cry it out" and self soothing. The results are catastrophic. Keep in mind this technique became popular around the time baby boomers were born.

129

braamdepace
User avatar
level 2
5h

I’m not doubting it, but I wonder how this was tested, cause I feel like bad parents would skew towards the cry it out method and caring parents would skew towards the help immediately. Seems nearly impossible to test properly.

11

NeuroticBakeder
User avatar
level 3
3h

So this is a case where you hardcore cannot do an experimental design, because that would mean potentially traumatizing babies to see what happens. So instead, we've got loads of observational research and some rat models.

MelodicHunter
8h

I came here to say this. Studies have shown that babies with parents that tend to them relatively quickly when they start crying grow up with better mental health and are better with trust/relationship forming than those with parents who let them "cry it out."
Go pick your damn baby up and give it a hug.

86

escapefromnarcatraz
User avatar
level 3
6h

Ha, my sister was obsessed with having her daughter cry herself to sleep when she was under a year old and I think it really affected her. She was also obsessed with specific bedtimes as if a baby knows it’s 7:30

slowsuby
level 4
6h

Basically the gist is that during the 12 weeks post birth you try to emulate as much as possible the environment in the womb. So swaddling, rocking, and white noise. I think it comes from the book “The Happiest Baby on the Block”. It’s really interesting and made complete sense to me. It worked well for both of my kids.

[2021-10-05 Tue 08:37]

Web Scrapers Claim to Possess and Sell Personal Data on 1.5 Billion Facebook Users on a Hacker Forum | privacyaffairs.com | unrelated to outage

Web Scrapers Claim to Possess and Sell Personal Data on 1.5 Billion Facebook Users on a Hacker Forum
https://www.privacyaffairs.com/facebook-data-sold-on-hacker-forum/

Important Clarification: This is completely unrelated to the global Facebook outage experienced on 4 October 2021.

The timing of this news post and the Facebook outage constitutes an unfortunate coincidence leading to many incorrectly assuming a connection between the two.

Several websites and Twitter accounts incorrectly attribute the 4 October Facebook outage to this alleged data leak.

Our initial article was published 12 hours before the Facebook outage happened.

Further Clarification: It’s alleged that the data was obtained by scraping publicly available data shared by users. Several media outlets and Twitter users misinterpret this to have resulted due to a hack or data breach, which is not the case.

[2021-10-05 Tue 10:27]

VIDEO: Japan’s Largest Warship Launches U.S. Marine F-35s; First Fighters to Fly from Japanese Ship Since WWII | news.usni.org

REDACTED

https://news.usni.org/2021/10/05/video-japans-largest-warship-launches-u-s-marine-f-35s-first-fighters-to-fly-from-japanese-ship-since-wwii

Yeah that's big. Can't stump the Trump! China should've made a deal.

alternative to Treefactor | by prefc

prefc — Today at 7:39 PM

refile3.el
33.34 KB
[7:39 PM]
Rewrote my old refile program, it's called refile3 now.

  • Uses completing-read
  • Arbitrary-depth refiling (with current dir or the vc root as the root dir)
  • "Repeat" function
  • Has a stack to see which heading was thrown where
  • Super-awesome headline edit function
  • helper fns - merge, demote/promote same, split block/heading (requires some editing), auto git commit, equalize headings
  • search function isn't portable
  • throw-up isn't implemented yet

Haven't noticed any bugs with the version I have now.
Transient bindings are custom to my keyboard + evil, so you might need to change them. I've also commented some functions in the transient that use evil.
If you do make a new transient, do not change its name. It should always be named refile3-main-transient.
Transient can't re-invoke after exiting, so I've opened a FR at github, and I'm using an ugly hack in the meantime.
[7:40 PM]
The transient can be too large, so it might block ~half of your org file. The temporary solution is to vsplit and use follow-mode. (edited)
[7:42 PM]

Cyberthal — Today at 7:43 PM
prefc — Today at 7:38 PM
I have a lot of backlog and throwing one level at a time is very tedious. (edited)

Cyberthal — Today at 7:41 PM
I solve that problem by simply navigating to the desired location in Dired when I occasionally want a longer-distance refile

prefc — Today at 7:44 PM
It's too tedious manually. This is much faster.
[7:44 PM]
And I think none of my refiles are one-level.

Cyberthal — Today at 7:45 PM
interesting system
[7:45 PM]
what flavor of Emacs?
NEW

prefc — Today at 7:46 PM
If the colors feel tacky you can remove the mapcar, I found the colors to be much better for readability

@Cyberthal
what flavor of Emacs?

prefc — Today at 7:46 PM
HEAD from a month and a half ago, native-comp.
Doom + evil, vertico/embark/orderless for completion (much faster than ivy)
The edit headline function is really cool, I was trying to use magit's with-editor (generates the buffer for the commit message) but it was too difficult to use, so I defined a mode instead and made it look virtually identical to with-editor.
[7:49 PM]
(The separator can also be changed)

[2021-10-09 Sat 19:48]

Seems like you're pushing next gen in some ways, I just want to release first generation properly.
Don't really want to make it easy for users to distance-refile. Taking the Apple approach to teach the workflow.
Incremental refiling works for me anyhow, prioritize minimizing mental effort over finger effort.
[2021-10-09 Sat 19:50]

prefc — Today at 7:53 PM
Ah okay. Although if you want to implement it in the future, it's easier to outsource the depth-dependent directory list to an external tool like fd.

[2021-10-09 Sat 20:03]

The American Bumblebee Has Vanished from Eight States (smithsonianmag.com) | HN | JDonald wrong again

The American Bumblebee Has Vanished from Eight States (smithsonianmag.com)
349 points by elorant 8 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 118 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28812602

update 7 hours ago [–]

Maine, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, Vermont, Idaho, North Dakota, Wyoming, and Oregon
Are the eight states from the title. Though it seems New York should be included since it says "The bumblebee species have declined by 99 percent in New York."
Also noteworthy
In the Midwest and Southeast, population numbers have dropped by more than 50 percent.
To nobodies surprise, the culprit is pesticides. Interestingly the west's bumblee population isn't listed as being in trouble.

"Jim" JDonald wrong, pesticides wrecking fauna.
[2021-10-10 Sun 12:08]

The latest campus cancellation is different (theatlantic.com) | HN | Twitter mob power | acts on gutless bureaucrats | Cathedral neuters "independent" orgs via regulatory state

The latest campus cancellation is different (theatlantic.com)
374 points by killittosaveit 14 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 459 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28817721

umvi 14 hours ago [–]

How do we neuter the power of Twitter mobs? Seems like they can bully and intimidate any organization from universities to corporations to GitHub projects to kowtow to their demands. Their demands are usually to fire, boycott, or boot people with opinions that run afoul of the mob.
Not a healthy precedent to set. We will regret this later if we continue down this path.

renengineer 13 hours ago [–]

the problem is that prestigious institutions are run by bureaucrats wearing its skin. For example this article says "MIT buckled", when in reality some campus admin buckled because to them it's not worth risking their comfy job over a speaker. The bureaucrats have no skin in the game, they don't benefit from thinking about long term damage to MIT or society in general. From their perspective it's logical to bow to Twitter mobs and collect their paychecks

[2021-10-11 Mon 10:50]

Shipments containing Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine are seized by customs officials in Chicago. | newsweek.com

Shipments containing Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine are seized by customs officials in Chicago.
https://www.newsweek.com/shipments-containing-ivermectin-hydroxychloroquine-seized-customs-officials-chicago-1635898

org-real: Keep track of real things as org-mode links | promising

Russian Navy UFO records say aliens love oceans | rt.com | legit

REDACTED

https://www.rt.com/news/russian-navy-ufo-records-say-aliens-love-oceans/
[2021-10-13 Wed 12:32]

legit

No friction, no problem.

Lincoln admin mocks civilized Indian tribes | they declare war on Union

A.D. Publishing
@antidem
5m

"I wore this frock coat in Washington, before the war. We wore them because we belonged to the five civilized tribes. We dressed ourselves up like Abraham Lincoln. We only got to see the Secretary of the Interior, and he said: "Boy! You boys sure look civilized!" He congratulated us and gave us medals for looking so civilized. We told him about how our land had been stolen and our people were dying. When we finished he shook our hands and said, "Endeavor to persevere!" They stood us in a line: John Jumper, Chili McIntosh, Buffalo Hump, Jim Buckmark, and me — I am Lone Watie. They took our pictures. And the newspapers said, "Indians vow to endeavor to persevere. We thought about it for a long time, "Endeavor to persevere." And when we had thought about it long enough, we declared war on the Union."

[2021-10-13 Wed 16:56]

Cyberthal> | dinosaur with opposable thumbs | Reptilian coverup

What if a dinosaur had opposable thumbs?
https://fineartamerica.com/featured/iguanodon-rick-davis.html
Would it evolve into a tool-using biped?
Would paleontologists assemble the skeleton correctly?
How would the USG respond if some maverick did so?

https://www.historydisclosure.com/spain-1968-hunters-encounter-reptilian-humanoid/
https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FNrFth-cZSLE%2Fhqdefault.jpg&imgrefurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DNrFth-cZSLE&tbnid=x3ZYCMVz01KIXM&vet=12ahUKEwj3kYHgncfzAhVzJH0KHcl8AEsQxiAoA3oECAAQIQ..i&docid=TirNqrcaLxkagM&w=480&h=360&itg=1&q=reptilian alien&hl=en&client=safari&ved=2ahUKEwj3kYHgncfzAhVzJH0KHcl8AEsQxiAoA3oECAAQIQ
[2021-10-13 Wed 19:04]

Cyberthal | why UFOs like water

UFOs like water:
H2O is an easily-accessible source of Hydrogen for fusion, plus water and oxygen for life support.
Also great for stealth.
[2021-10-13 Wed 20:52]

Were zombies and vampires inspired by a real disease? | Alessandra Potenza

REDACTED

https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/27/16559778/halloween-vampires-zombies-rabies-disease-legends

Are humans today just as ignorant, from the perspective of a civilization millions of years more advanced than ours?
[2021-10-14 Thu 00:32]

lenship | Cyberthal meditation

The flying saucer, AKA lenticular aerodyne, AKA lenship, is shaped like a convex lens.
What forces and fields might such a lens shape?
Is the edge a practical prow for impacting stellar dust at relativistic speeds?
Compare to sci fi starships. Does the lenship look like the product of human imagination?
Bullets have a certain universal look, dictated by engineering.
[2021-10-14 Thu 02:03]

"Flying saucer" evokes B-grade sci fi. A landed lenship might disgorge a demigod. Do spacemen need big muscles and teeth? Their suits might make the lenship's field an extension of the pilot's nervous system. Perhaps lenships even slip between dimensions, bending space as they do water and light, ignoring inertia and cheating time.
[2021-10-14 Thu 02:08]

leaking watermarked docs | text or img | manually reproduce

justinoaks 8 hours ago [–]

I can appreciate that this is a "Reproduced Snapshot". I don't see anywhere that clarifies what it means, but I assume that this means it's not a simple copy/paste of text, nor a screenshot.
The reason for avoiding both of those is to avoid passing through watermarking that can reveal how the data was leaked.
Text can be watermarked by including unicode characters that look identical to ASCII characters or including invisible characters like zero-width spaces. Copy-pasting text will keep those characters.
Images from screenshots can be watermarked by having subtly differently colored pixels, subtle differences in text spacing, etc.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28843122
[2021-10-13 Wed 15:47]

Ask HN: Solo-preneurs, how do you DevOps to save time? | HN | Heroku

Ask HN: Solo-preneurs, how do you DevOps to save time?
323 points by aristofun 21 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 290 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28838132

jon-wood 19 hours ago [–]

I have no idea why there's nothing here saying "don't". Go and get a Heroku account, hook it up to your Github repository's master branch for deploys, use Github Actions for CI, and then get on with life.
Yes, you'll pay more for a Heroku Postgres instance than you would for a VPS on Digital Ocean with Postgres running on it, likewise you'll pay more for Heroku Dynos than another VPS to run your application server. On the other side though, your backup, rollback, deploy, and scaling strategies can all be "Heroku does that", and you can focus on the much more valuable job of building a business.

employeement | tap-dancing around pay | middle aged skip it | bad employers | r/AskReddit

gaelorian
level 2
1d

Eventually you get tired of the bullshit. My friends and colleagues in their 30s and 40s and older don’t tap dance around pay.
It has been our experience that any job that hides salaries or isn’t completely up front is a terrible place to work.
After all, their first impression is one of dishonesty and lack of transparency.
Shove your table tennis table and doughnuts every first Friday. We’re here to make money.

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/q80ub3/what_double_standard_are_you_tired_of/
[2021-10-16 Sat 20:14]

wibblejibble
1d

I let them hear about me a bit in the screener call and when they get to that I usually flip it back around on them and ask what their range is. It's easy in my field where there is a big range in what manager means (account manager is nearly entry level while strat comm manager is usually a nice place to be for example), so I point out that I'm not trying to waste their time and get through a process to not be in line with what they're thinking. Then they'll almost always just tell you the range upon asking and you can decide then if the position is a good fit for your next role.
But the best piece of advice that I can give anyone is that all this shit people tell you to do works a hell of a lot better when you already have a job and aren't desperate, so don't quit your old one until you have the new one in hand.

[2021-10-16 Sat 20:15]

Ask HN: What's the fastest way to become employable in tech | HN | start in small co tech support | "support engineer"

Ask HN: What's the fastest way to become employable in tech
20 points by OliverGilan 11 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 68 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28889090

noman-land 9 hours ago [–]

Start in tech support. You'll learn an insane amount and be right near the people you want to become.
reply

jc811 9 hours ago [–]

This so much. I’ve had friends wanting to make the switch from totally non-technical industries, who only want to be hired as a full stack developer after a taking some online classes.
In my opinion, the absolute best way to make the switch is to start in tech support. It’s the same concept of the only true way to learn a 2nd language is immersion by living in the country. The only true way to make the switch to tech is to be immersed in it.
Starting in tech support at a small-to-mid-size startup is such a strong and viable path, it’s a shame most people don’t realize that.
reply

shmde 7 hours ago [–]

Tech support is just saying people to switch on off stuff and troubleshoot things which already have pre-made solutions. How can a person switch from this to a full blown career in tech ? My advice would be to start from being a manual test engineer move to automation test engineer work closely with devs in this position and slowly switch to a software dev. I say start with manual test engineer, because the entry barrier is very low and you can work your way up to become a software engineer. Will definitely take time ( years easily ) but its achievable this way I feel.
reply

toast0 5 hours ago [–]

If you're doing call center tech support, sure.
If you're doing tech support for a smaller org, you're also going to do system setup and delivery, and you're probably going to touch provisioning systems and your boss or your bosses boss is going to be managing people that run the corporate IT systems. There's a path to developer there, usually by doing some automation on the day to day work and being recognized and asked to help out with more things and eventually a job title. Or at least, working with people who do what you want to do, and asking them what it would take to get there.
Manual test -> automatrd test -> writing the things that need testing is also a valid way though.
reply

jc811 6 hours ago [–]

Respectfully, I couldn’t disagree more. I’m not referring to the traditional call center “is it plugged in?” Tech support.
I mean working as a “support engineer” for a start-up SaaS company whose users can be fairly technical themselves. For example, working on the support team of a B2B SaaS company who makes a tool for IT teams.
These types of roles can be filled by just about anyone, and there is so much to learn just by being around the environment. Lots of things we (people already in tech) take for granted is just how much one can learn by being around devs, sales, success, QA, devops, etc teams on a daily basis.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28889090

I imagine there are always opportunities around to solve technical problems, and pursuing those opportunities builds momentum towards a tech career. Most businesses interact with databases, personal computers and the Internet, for example.

Small org tech support appears to be the best answer. It fits with my suspicions that a willingness to be humble about doing ops or support entry-level work gains one valuable exposure.
[2021-10-17 Sun 12:10]

PLA on high alert | Taiwan "doomsday" | the-sun.com

AC> China has reportedly placed its military on “high alert” as state controlled media warned Taiwan of a looming “doomsday” amid fears of invasion.

https://www.the-sun.com/news/3871368/china-military-high-alert-doomsday-taiwan-ww3/
[2021-10-17 Sun 18:40]

How deliberate illness improves trial sensitivity

A healthy person has difficulty determining whether an intervention such as a nutritional supplement has any benefit. The difference is likely smaller than the normal variation in his subjective and objective health. This lengthens the duration and expense of determinative trials. However, a strongly negative effect will be easy to notice.

Illness is therefore a valuable experimental opportunity. Illness reduces activity level and thus causal noise. Illness increases self-monitoring due to incapacitation. Illness makes a moderately positive effect easier to notice, because the relative improvement in health is dramatic. A negative effect is still detectable enough, since one can always get worse until dead.

Many interventions take the form of ingestibles. One great source of difficulty I've found in mitigating my IBS/IBD is that my gut transit time varies from several days to several hours. My diet causes minimal gut load, which results in a normal transit time of several days. IBS-D flares obviously accelerate this.

Long gut transit times make causal attribution of ingestible effects difficult. The reverse is true of short gut transit times. Thus the best time to test an ingestible is when transit time is already short and one's gut is purged.

Obviously this doesn't work if the cause of rapid transit is temporary or already resolved. Then natural recovery is conflated with ingestible benefit. So one needs a stable regimen that causes the rapid transit time. In my case, I merely need to stop taking my usual treatments to achieve this state. Others may need to eat some food that normally disagrees with them.

So if spicy food makes one ill, one can temporarily go on a spicy diet to rapidly test various ingestible medicines or supplements for significant benefits. (Beware of gut acclimation to spiciness skewing results!)

posted to
</how-deliberate-illness-improves-trial-sensitivity/>
[2021-10-18 Mon 11:34]

DuckDuckGo has had 0 search warrants since founding in 2008 (twitter.com/duckduckgo) | HN | cuz no logs

DuckDuckGo has had 0 search warrants since founding in 2008 (twitter.com/duckduckgo)
281 points by arkadiyt 11 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 159 comments
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28906622
[2021-10-19 Tue 10:55]

hotels vs hospitals | checking out | avoid cartels

A hotel is a business that makes money as long as you stay, and when you decide to return.

A hospital is a business that makes money as long as you stay, often insulated from consumer choice and transparency, operating in cartels with geographic monopolies.

Hotels ensure customer loyalty by providing wonderful memories. Hospitals ensure customer loyalty by causing complications.

Prefer a hospital with the business model of a hotel: Attracting rich distant clients for a wonderful experience.
[2021-10-19 Tue 22:07]

Publish At: Author:Cyberthal

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